While the K family may want someone from the K coaching tree, and Duke's administration thinks they want the same thing, it has been demonstrated many times that making a clean break is the best way to go. Giving the job to a K disciple only guarantees that his shadow engulfs the program long after he's gone.
Stevens is a great freaking basketball coach, and he's young like K was when he took the Duke job. He's also accompliushed enough on his own (at Butler, no less) that he'd have the credibility with recruits/AAU coaches to keep Duke rolling right along. He'd still get second-guessed -- whoever succeeds K is gonna have to deal with that -- but nothing like Collins or Wojo would face.
Smart at UCLA and Stevens at Duke are two young stars who could become all-time greats at two of the blue-bloods. It just makes too much sense not to happen.
Regardless, Mason is gonna have to increase funding for bball to stay competitive. TOC knows how to run the ship on a tight budget, but he's got only, what, 2 to 3 years left at Mason. Hopefully its longer.
Jim - I don't necessarily disagree with any of your logic but, at the end of the day, I'd be very surprised if Duke doesn't stay in the family because of respect for K (even if misguided) and wanting to put someone in place who understands exactly what K built -- not to mention, if K goes to bat for someone, as an AD you almost have to go with it. We'll see.